Cheltenham betting tips 2019: prediction and favourites
Cheltenham Festival is the culmination of the Jumps season and the event that gathers huge crowds and attracts interest of many across the world. From March 12–15, you can watch some of the finest jockeys and racehorses in the world displaying their talents during four days of extraordinary horse racing at Cheltenham festival. The event kicks off in two weeks, so it’s high time you get ready for the seasonal championships of the National Hunt racing calendar. Check out our Cheltenham betting tips that will help you stay ahead of the game and make the most out of your Cheltenham bets.
Cheltenham betting tips: the old course and the new course
Before we go on with our Cheltenham betting tips, let’s check the racecourse conditions for the upcoming festival. Check here our betting guide that contains the racecard 2019 for Cheltenham Festival.
The Cheltenham festival features four days of intense races that are being run on three courses — the old course, the new course, and the Cross Country Course, all of which are very different.
Difference between the Old and the New Course
The old course is probably the most famous track in Cheltenham, hosting all the action of the first two days of the festival.
The Old course has only four starting positions, as opposed to five of the New Course that make the run from start to finish line much shorter. Also, the field at the Old Course is tighter than the one at the New Course, which ultimately favours horses with more of a turn of foot.
The New Course has a much broader fall from the top of the hill, meaning that the run from the final bend to the finish line is a lot longer. This tracks suit horses that are better prepared for the long ride, and it’s much easier for them to make a comeback from greater distance.
Both of these courses are left-handed, and both have a stiff finish up at the Cheltenham hill, with the stiffness varying at the finish. Overall, the Old course is regarded as a speed test, whereas in the New Course, the emphasis is much more on stamina. You are probably wondering why is this important for punters? Well, if you want to make successful betting tips for Cheltenham, you have to find the horse best-suited to the specific test of each course.
How to bet on Cheltenham 2019: our Cheltenham betting tips
Cheltenham festival is coming soon, and it’s time to check out our latest Cheltenham tips that will make a great week of betting even better. To that end, take a look at our Cheltenham betting tips, and you will start making more informed bets in no time.
The trainer statistics
The trainer plays a significant role in a success of a horse. The list of the duties that a trainer needs to perform is enormous — they are a father, mother, coach, amateur doctor, babysitter, and horses’ best friend. The trainer’s job is to figure out how to get the maximum results from a genetically high strung horse without compromising its health.
Here are the key things from our Cheltenham betting tips about trainers you should have in mind before placing bets:
- Winning percentage is certainly important, but we really want to learn the sub-statistics. Are their horses more successful on sprints or routes? On turf or on dirt? Do they prefer training two-year-olds or older?
- Observe how a trainer performs when he or she raises/drops the claiming price of a horse.
- How does a trainer select the best spots for their horse? How many times have we seen a horse perform amazingly, move up to allowance company and have a streak of a couple of miserable races in a row? The trainer’s job is to find the right spot for their horse so that it can be successful if it runs its best pace.
- See whether the trainer has a particular go-to jockey for a specific type of race.
- How does the trainer’s horse perform in the early stages of the event? Sometimes, some trainers are off to a slow start and need time to get into the swing of the event. Look at the statistics and see how you can use it to your advantage.
The jockey statistic
In most cases, the jockey doesn’t play a significant role in a horse’s success. Usually, the fastest horse is the one that wins the race, regardless of who’s riding it. After all, a Bugatti Veyron will always win the race against the Porsche 911(or against any car for that matter), regardless of the driver. However, the jockey can help a horse win in many ways.
Having all of this in mind, jockey’s statistic is worth checking out, and we included them in our Cheltenham festival betting tips. It’s very common that many jockeys tend to perform better at specific courses — and you can use that to your advantage. Look out for jockeys that have less than a 14 percent strike rate on rides. Be cautious about betting horses with negative jockey, particularly when the horse is racing in less than ideal conditions.
Cheltenham Favourites 2019: our selection for this festival
If you are looking for the betting tips for Cheltenham, check out our preview of the races for each day of the Festival. Our previews are in-depth and they can help you make your Cheltenham betting more profitable.
Cheltenham tips Tuesday
The opening day of the Cheltenham festival features races such as the Champion Hurdle, the Arkle Trophy and the Supreme Novices Hurdle.
The main favourite from our Cheltenham tips Tuesday to win this year’s Supreme Novices Hurdle is Al Dancer. Trained by a British National Hunt specialist Nigel Twiston-Davies, this 6-year-old horse remains unbeaten so far in three races over hurdles, and its jumping is improving as it gains experience. It can also handle a softer ground if it starts raining, and it has a proven form against rivals priced mainly on connections rather than their accomplishments.
As far as the predictions for the Champion Hurdle are concerned, our pick is Buveur d’Air, a French-bred British-trained racehorse that have already won two Champion Hurdles. Although Nicky Henderson suffered a shocking Kempton loss, he stated that Buveur d’Air will be a different horse this year. Also, the course at Champion Hurdle suits Buveur d’Air as it can show its toughness and real run pace in a finish up the hill.
Cheltenham tips Wednesday
Day 2 of the Cheltenham festival features races such as the Queen Mother Champion Chase, Coral Cup, Steeple Chase, and others.
The leading favourite from our Cheltenham tips Wednesday to win the Coral Cup is Joseph O’Brien and his 6-year-old Early Doors. Its proven stamina will count for a lot up in the final hill, and there is plenty of room for improvement after just eight runs so far over hurdles.
Nicky Henderson’s Santini is the clear favourite to win the RSA Chase. It came short at the Kempton race, but we expect it to be much better suited by this track with more galloping.
Cheltenham tips Thursday
Our Cheltenham tips Thursday, or the St Patrick day, are Lostintranslation to win the JLT Novice’s Chase and Willie Mullins’ prolific chaser-Min to take the Ryanair Chase.
Emma Lavelle’s 7-yo Paisley Park is the heavy favourite to win the Stayers Hurdle. The course of this Grade 1 race will certainly play to its strengths, particularly on rain easing conditions.
Cheltenham tips Gold Cup
The most anticipated race of the week will be one of the most competitive in recent times. The last year’s hero Native River is the favourite to win it all, even though it was beaten twice this winter. The flat track didn’t play to its strengths, and we probably haven’t seen the best of it this year.
Our Cheltenham tips gold cup include Might Bite that was the runner up last year, but its season has been a bit of car-crash. It finished last in the Betfair Chase and seventh in King George, which made its owners having it check out. It had undergone a small operation, but we expect it will get back on the track very soon.
Cheltenham tips for the Arkle Chase 2019
One of the leading favourites to win the Arkle Chase, Le Richebourg, is ruled for the rest of the season due to a late injury, so it would be a shocker if a 7-years-old Lalor doesn’t win the race.
Amy Weaver’s Kalashnikov has impressed with his jumping over fences, although it was second to Dynamite Dollars at Kempton, and it’s evident that it has significantly improved since.
Henry de Bromhead and his Ornua are worth close inspection. It’s well known that Henry has a soft spot for the Arkle, winning it back in 2010. He knows how to get the job done, and his 8-year old Ornua is 3 from 7 over fences this season.
Champion chase prediction
This year’s Champion Chase revolves around Altior, a 9-years-old horse trained by Nicky Henderson. It is undefeated in seventeen starts over hurdles and fences, which is a mind-blowing record that dates back to 2015.
The closest challenger to Altior will most likely be Footpad that won the last year’s Arkle Chase in a stunning fashion. Also, we shouldn’t rule out Min, who has twice finished second to Altior.